Wakely Wire

New Insights

Whitepapers, briefs, press releases and more

Weight of the Matter – Obesity’s Financial Impact in Medicare Populations

Obesity rates in the United States have climbed to historic highs, with nearly 42% of adults now classified as obese—a trend with significant implications for the health care system. Among Medicare-aged individuals, obesity is strongly associated with chronic conditions such as diabetes, cardiovascular disease and musculoskeletal disorders, all of which increase health care utilization and ... Continue reading

Continue reading

The Value Shift: Inside the C-SNP Surge

Chronic Condition Special Needs Plans (C-SNPs) are rapidly reshaping the Medicare Advantage landscape heading into 2026, evolving from a niche product into one of the fastest-growing MA segments. Part of Wakely’s The Value Shift series, this whitepaper examines how C-SNP growth has been highly concentrated by condition and geography, driven primarily by plans targeting diabetes, ... Continue reading

Continue reading

Managed Medicaid Enrollment and Profitability 2019-2025

Managed Medicaid Care has experienced several policy shocks in recent years. As a result of Families First Coronavirus Response Act (FFCRA), starting in March 2020 states were given extra Medicaid funding on the condition that the states maintained continuous enrollment. Between February 2020 and April 2023 Medicaid enrollment grew from 66 million to 87 million. ... Continue reading

Continue reading

Week in Washington – 2/19/26

Congress Generally, no updates from Congress this week. Funding expired for the Department of Homeland Security (reminder this impacts TSA). There does not appear any significant movement toward an agreement. Congress is preparing for President Trump’s State of the Union Address next week (February 24).Politico recently published a piece on why an Obamacare/ePTC deal never ... Continue reading

Continue reading

Events & More

CY2026 Trends in Medicare Advantage Part D Plan Benefits

WAKELY WEBINAR
February 25, 2026 | 12 PM ET

Join the experts from Wakely, an HMA Company, for a data-driven discussion of the key Part D benefit trends shaping Medicare Advantage Part D plans in CY2026. The Inflation Reduction Act’s Part D benefit redesign commenced January 1, 2025, with Maximum Fair Price drugs introduced January 1, 2026. As benefit design becomes more uniform across Part D plans, this webinar explores how sponsors adjusted the Part D benefits of their plans to meet the requirements of the legislation, while still remaining competitive. We will review the CY2025->CY2026 movements of Part D benefits and formulary placement, in addition to exploring benefit & formulary differences between MAPD & PDP plans for CY2026.

Learn more and register

PACE: Advance Notice Review

WAKELY WEBINAR
February 26, 2026 | 2:30 PM ET

In this webinar, experts from Wakely will be reviewing changes to the PACE program announced in the recent 2027 Medicare Advantage and Part D Advance Notice published by CMS on January 26, 2026. Primary amongst these changes, the risk adjustment model transition for PACE programs from the legacy Risk Adjustment Processing System (RAPS) to the encounter data system (EDS) is accelerating to a 50/50 weighting in 2027. The webinar will also review how the commonly quoted Effective Growth Rate translates to PACE plan Medicare revenue in 2027. Finally, the webinar will discuss how all of the model changes coming to the Medicare Part D program affect PACE plans. How will these changes impact your organization’s bottom line?

Learn more and register

Newsworthy Findings

FDA Reverses Course on Moderna’s Flu Vaccine

Moderna said after a “Type A” meeting, the agency agreed to move forward and review its application for the mRNA-based shot.

Read full article
Editor's Note
Last week, the FDA rejected Moderna’s experimental flu vaccine application citing issues in clinical testing. Moving forward, with the decision reversed, Moderna hopes to secure FDA approval based on age to accelerate approval for those 65 and older.

Federal Judge Strikes Down FTC Rule Expanding Premerger Reporting Requirements

The regulation required firms to provide more details ahead of mergers, likely chilling dealmaking. The Federal Trade Commission could appeal the decision.

Read full article
Editor's Note
The rule, which went into effect last year, added multiple new disclosures including details on company officers and directors, organization charts, the firms’ rationale for combining, and other details to help the FTC determine whether deals could violate antitrust laws. Among others, the American Hospital Association opposed the rule stating that mergers were a critical tool to save hospitals from closing their door and that the rule would “significantly increase the complexity and costs of pursuing valuable merger activity.”

Demand for Outpatient Medical Buildings Growing

The average fit-out cost to turn space into a medical office building is $412 per square foot, not counting structural upgrades, according to an analysis.

Read full article
Editor's Note
Healthcare cost concerns are increasing, and as a result payment policy changes by CMS include allowing more procedures to be done outside of hospitals. Healthcare providers are placing greater emphasis on more affordable outpatient facilities as part of their portfolio optimization.

New Medicaid Work Rules Likely To Hit Middle-Aged Adults Hard

Adults ages 50 to 64, particularly women, are likely to be hit hard by the new Medicaid coverage rules, requiring millions of Americans to work volunteer, attend school, or perform other qualifying activities for at least 80 hours a month.

Read full article
Editor's Note
Medicaid expansion has provided coverage for middle-aged adults who otherwise would lack insurance, covering approximately 1 in 5 Americans ages 50 to 64, giving them access to health coverage before they qualify for Medicare at age 65. Exempt are people with disabilities, caregivers, pregnant and postpartum individuals, veterans with total disabilities, and others facing medical or personal hardship.

Unprecedented Spike in Plan Exits Threatens Medicare Advantage Stability

Medicare Advantage beneficiaries face forced disenrollment in 2026 as plan exits drive coverage termination, pushing millions toward traditional Medicare and Part D’s $2100 cap.

Read full article
Editor's Note
Medicare Advantage is seeing a sharp rise in “forced disenrollment” in 2026 of about 10% of enrollees (~2.9 million people) as insurers exit plans or markets. This is up from roughly 1% on average in 2018-2024 and ~6.9% in 2025. This disruption is expected to hit non-SNP and PPO members especially hard and be disproportionately felt in rural areas, raising concerns about care continuity and plan stability.

Bonus Article

Just for Fun

Math Riddle

Why was the fraction nervous about marrying the decimal?

Prior Week

Q: Why do mathematicians love parks?
A: Because of all the natural logs.

Sign up for the
Wakely Wire,

our industry newsletter.