Wakely Wire

New Insights

Whitepapers, briefs, press releases and more

Individual ACA Open Enrollment Insights So Far

On January 12, 2026, Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) released updates on the 2026 Marketplace open enrollment. Interest in this year’s open enrollment has been particularly strong given the significant affordability changes following the end of the enhanced premium subsidies. While information is preliminary, this paper includes several key insights on enrollment patterns ... Continue reading

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Week in Washington – 1/22/26

Legislative Update Congress faces a January 30, 2026, government funding deadline, with the newly released spending package notably excluding an extension of enhanced advanced premium tax credits. The House is expected to take up the appropriations minibus this week. The main sticking point is around funding for ICE. PBM Reform While enhanced subsidy extension is ... Continue reading

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Events & More

2027 ACA Considerations: Proposed NBPP and Other Key Changes and Trends

WAKELY WEBINAR – Feb 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET

Join experts from HMA and Wakely for a timely discussion unpacking what the proposed rule means in practice and how stakeholders can begin preparing now. This webinar will provide a clear overview of the final 2027 NBPP** and Letter to Issuers, highlight the most significant policy changes and clarifications, and explore the operational and strategic implications for states. Speakers will focus on how the final policies may influence market stability, affordability, program administration, and longer-term planning for 2027 and beyond.

Learn more and register

Newsworthy Findings

Medicare Advantage Overpayments Will Total $76B This Year: MedPAC

The federal government will pay an estimated $76 billion more to cover Medicare Advantage seniors this year than it would if those same seniors were in traditional Medicare, according to new estimates from an influential advisory group.

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Editor's Note
Medicare Advantage costs the federal government about $76 billion more per year than traditional Medicare, totaling 114% of fee-for-service Medicare spending despite similar underlying costs. This higher spending is driven by favorable selection (11%) and increased coding intensity, or upcoding (4%); without these factors, MedPAC estimates Medicare Advantage spending would be about 99% of traditional Medicare, raising concerns that taxpayers are overpaying private plans without clear added value.

Trump Unveils Healthcare Affordability Plan

The “Great Healthcare Plan” is vague but would send money directly to ACA enrollees and entrench Trump’s drug pricing deals.

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Editor's Note
The White House’s “Great Healthcare Plan” aims to slash prescription drug prices, lower premiums, hold insurers accountable, and expand price transparency. Efforts include shifting ACA subsidies toward consumer health savings accounts, reinstating cost-sharing reduction payments, and requiring insurers and providers to publicly disclose prices, coverage comparisons, claims denial rates, wait times, and spending on care versus profit. While the administration argues the plan would cut premiums by more than 10% and save taxpayers at least $36 billion, experts say the proposal is light on details and that replacing ACA subsidies with HSAs may not increase affordability for many enrollees.

Kaiser Affiliates to Pay $556M to Resolve Medicare Advantage Fraud Allegations

The Justice Department claims some Kaiser health plans submitted invalid diagnostic codes to reap higher reimbursement from Medicare.

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Editor's Note
Kaiser Permanente agreed to pay $556 million to settle Justice Department allegations that it pressured doctors to upcode Medicare Advantage patients from 2009 to 2018 to secure higher federal payments, marking the largest MA upcoding settlement to date. Kaiser denied wrongdoing, saying it settled to avoid prolonged litigation, as federal scrutiny of industrywide risk-adjustment practices continues to intensify.

Trinity Health To Lay Off 10.5% Of Revenue Cycle Headcount

The Michigan-based health system said financial headwinds, including heightened costs, low reimbursement and federal policy changes, motivated the cuts.

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Editor's Note
Trinity Health is laying off 10.5% of its revenue cycle management staff and outsourcing that work to cut costs as it faces rising expenses, low reimbursement rates and federal funding cuts. The system, which projects up to $1.5 billion in annual revenue losses from recent policy changes, says the move is necessary to maintain long-term financial sustainability amid mounting industry headwinds.

MedPAC steps away from advocating doctor pay be tied to inflation

The Medicare Payment Advisory Commission group voted on Thursday to recommend that Medicare 0.5% increase to physician reimbursement next year but retreated from its previous position that annual payment updates should be linked to inflation.

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Editor's Note
Physician groups said they welcomed any improvement to Medicare rates, but that doctors’ reimbursement in the federal insurance program for seniors and disabled Americans will continue to be inadequate without meaningful reform.

Bonus Article

Just for Fun

Math Joke

Why did the mathematician bring a ladder to the bar?

Prior Week

Q: Why is being an actuary a metalhead’s dream job?

A: Because they get paid to calculate death and destruction

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